Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff Metropolitan University

2 - 1

Bala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Metropolitan University play Bala in the Cymru Premier 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cardiff Metropolitan University averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Bala averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Cardiff Metropolitan University won 3, Bala won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Cardiff Metropolitan University and 1.31 for Bala. This points to a Cardiff Metropolitan University double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Cardiff Metropolitan University

31%

Draws

18%

Bala

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Cardiff Metropolitan University picked up more points recently compared to Bala.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 18%

Bala Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cardiff Metropolitan University	Bala
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	9	7
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.7	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru Premier

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier

Bala vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 29, 2025 Cymru Premier

Bala vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Apr 26, 2025 Cymru Premier

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Payne J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mwandwe L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Metropolitan University 50 / 100

Bala 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cardiff Metropolitan University Bala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cardiff Metropolitan University or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cardiff Metropolitan University attacking → ← attacking Bala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Metropolitan University scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cardiff Metropolitan University went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 22

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Haverfordwest	32	14	6	12	48:43	48
8	Briton Ferry	32	12	9	11	46:47	45
9	Cardiff Metropolitan University	32	8	14	10	43:51	38
10	Flint Town	32	8	11	13	48:59	35
11	Bala	32	8	8	16	33:45	32
12	Llanelli	32	3	4	25	17:82	13