Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2023/2024 Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff

Cardiff Metropolitan University

4 - 0

Cwmbran Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Cardiff Metropolitan University advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cardiff Metropolitan University

Draws

Cwmbran Town

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Cwmbran Town haven't matched Cardiff Metropolitan University's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Metropolitan University taking it.
Cardiff Metropolitan University have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cwmbran Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Cwmbran Town have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 19%

Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cardiff Metropolitan University	Cwmbran Town
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	10	2
Losses	8	23
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cwmbran Town

4:0

Sep 13, 2008 FA Cup

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cwmbran Town

1:3

Jan 5, 2001 Cymru Premier

Cwmbran Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

3:1

Aug 25, 2000 Cymru Premier

Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cwmbran Town

0:3

Apr 23, 2000 Cymru Premier

Cwmbran Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Metropolitan University 85 / 100

Cwmbran Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cardiff Metropolitan University Cwmbran Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Town let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff Metropolitan University went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cardiff Metropolitan University scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Metropolitan University VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Home)

18 Jul

Cardiff Metropolitan University

0 : 0

Brackley

07 Jul

Carmarthen Town

1 : 3

Cardiff Metropolitan University

04 Jul

Cardiff Metropolitan University

2 : 1

Afan Lido

26 Jun

Cardiff Metropolitan University

5 : 0

Pontardawe

18 Apr

Cardiff Metropolitan University

2 : 2

Flint Town

Page 1 of 7

Cwmbran Town

(Away)

22 Nov

Rhyl

3 : 2

Cwmbran Town

18 Oct

Llantwit Major

1 : 2

Cwmbran Town

20 Sept

Cwmbran Town

5 : 4

Ynyshir Albions

12 Jul

Pontypridd United

1 : 0

Cwmbran Town

25 Jun

Taffs Well

4 : 1

Cwmbran Town

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Penrhyncoch2

Chirk AAA FC4

Porthmadog3

Glantraeth FC0

Newport City0

Abergavenny Town2

Cardiff Airport3

Cefn Fforest1

Rhyl1

Menai Bridge Tigers2

Tregaron Turfs2

Llanuwchllyn10

Corwen0

Bow Street4

TBD-

Buckley-

Penparcau FC0

Cefn Albion1

Holyhead0

Bangor 18764

Cerrigydrudion2

Denbigh4

TBD-

Flint Town-

Connahs Q.-

TBD-

Caernarfon-

St. Asaph1

Llandudno Junction0

TBD-

Prestatyn-

Cardiff Corries2

Caerau Ely3

TBD-

Afan Lido-

Llanidloes Town5

Builth4

Radnor Valley0

Gresford4

Aberystwyth-

TBD-

Pontardawe-

Bala-

TBD-

Llandudno FC-

NFA0

Flint Mountain3

TBD-

Holywell Town FC-

Canton3

Sully Sports1

TBD-

Cambrian United-

Penydarren2

South Gower AFC3

Rockspur4

Afan United2

Chepstow Town7

Pill0

Abercarn United4

St Albans1

Haverfordwest-

TBD-

Baglan Dragons5

Cwmaman Institute1

Goytre Utd1

Trefelin3

Ammanford Town1

Taffs Well0

Cardiff Metropolitan University-

TBD-

Aber Valley2

Cwmbran Town3

Mochdre Sports0

Nantlle Vale FC2

Mold Alexandra13

Montgomery1

Pwllheli1

Felinheli2

TBD-

Newtown-

Colwyn Bay-

TBD-

Llanrwst United2

Conwy Borough1

Barry Town-

TBD-

Treharris Athletic1

Porthcawl Town2

Brickfield Rangers3

Caersws FC1

TBD-

Guilsfield-

Airbus UK Broughton FC-

TBD-

Penycae FC1

Rhos Aelwyd4

Aberfan2

Pontyclun FC1

TBD-

Briton Ferry-

Llanelli-

TBD-

Llantwit Major-

Cwmbran Celtic-

TBD-

Penybont-

Carmarthen Town-

TBD-

Mumbles Rangers1

Evans Williams2

Pontypridd United-

TBD-

Abertillery Bluebirds2

Caerphilly1

Ruthin Town-

TBD-

TNS-

Trethomas Bluebirds4

Ely Rangers1

Llantwit Fardre3

Penrhiwceiber Rangers4

1/32-finals

Chirk AAA FC1

Porthmadog2

Abergavenny Town1

Cardiff Airport3

Menai Bridge Tigers0

Llanuwchllyn2

Bow Street2

Buckley3

Cefn Albion1

Bangor 18767

Denbigh0

Flint Town3

Connahs Q.4

Caernarfon1

St. Asaph0

Prestatyn1

Caerau Ely4

Afan Lido0

Llanidloes Town1

Gresford3

Aberystwyth2

Pontardawe1

Bala3

Llandudno FC0

Flint Mountain3

Holywell Town FC1

Canton2

Cambrian United1

South Gower AFC1

Rockspur0

Chepstow Town4

Abercarn United0

Haverfordwest1

Baglan Dragons0

Trefelin2

Ammanford Town3

Cardiff Metropolitan University4

Cwmbran Town0

Nantlle Vale FC2

Mold Alexandra3

Felinheli0

Newtown6

Colwyn Bay6

Llanrwst United2

Barry Town6

Porthcawl Town0

Brickfield Rangers2

Guilsfield7

Airbus UK Broughton FC4

Rhos Aelwyd0

Aberfan0

Briton Ferry3

Llanelli4

Llantwit Major0

Cwmbran Celtic0

Penybont3

Carmarthen Town2

Evans Williams0

Pontypridd United-

Abertillery Bluebirds-

Ruthin Town0

TNS5

Trethomas Bluebirds6

Penrhiwceiber Rangers1

1/16-finals

Porthmadog5

Cardiff Airport1

Llanuwchllyn1

Buckley2

Bangor 18761

Flint Town2

Connahs Q.8

Prestatyn0

Caerau Ely4

Gresford3

Aberystwyth0

Bala1

Flint Mountain2

Canton1

South Gower AFC3

Chepstow Town2

Haverfordwest2

Ammanford Town0

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

Mold Alexandra1

Newtown1

Colwyn Bay2

Barry Town1

Guilsfield0

Airbus UK Broughton FC1

Briton Ferry2

Llanelli4

Penybont3

Carmarthen Town4

Abertillery Bluebirds2

TNS7

Trethomas Bluebirds0

1/8-finals

Porthmadog0

Buckley2

Flint Town0

Connahs Q.3

Caerau Ely1

Bala4

Flint Mountain2

South Gower AFC1

Haverfordwest1

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

Colwyn Bay2

Barry Town0

Briton Ferry1

Llanelli0

Carmarthen Town0

TNS3

Quarter-finals

Buckley1

Connahs Q.4

Bala3

Flint Mountain0

Cardiff Metropolitan University3

Colwyn Bay2

Briton Ferry1

TNS5

Semi-finals

Connahs Q.1

Bala0

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

TNS6

Final

Connahs Q.2

TNS1