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Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Payne J.
14' Event
Clarke J.
24'
Yonsian F.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Cardiff Metropolitan University and Holywell Town FC finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff Metropolitan University.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
20%
Draws
10%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff Metropolitan University come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Metropolitan University taking it.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cardiff Metropolitan University here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 20%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Metropolitan University Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Holywell Town FC
6:1
Mar 29, 1999 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Holywell Town FC
5:1
Dec 11, 1998 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Payne J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sconce J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Metropolitan University 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Metropolitan University Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Cardiff Metropolitan University scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Metropolitan University VS Holywell Town FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Home)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)