Sport Picks

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Cardiff U21 vs QPR U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Perrett T.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Nyakuhwa T.
Assist: Thomas J.
84' Event
Pearce L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Cardiff U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cardiff U21
20%
Draws
23%
QPR U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • QPR U21 haven't matched Cardiff U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cardiff U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Cardiff U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor QPR U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%
QPR U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U21 QPR U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Professional Development League
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs QPR U21
3:1
Nov 4, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs QPR U21
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League Cup
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:2
Apr 22, 2025 Professional Development League
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyakuhwa T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pearce L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.82

QPR U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemayehu Mulugeta I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U21 47 / 100
QPR U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U21 QPR U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Cardiff U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cardiff U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U21 VS QPR U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U21

(Home)
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5
Cardiff U21
18 Aug
Cardiff U21
1 : 2
Barnsley U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

QPR U21

(Away)
13 Sept
QPR U21
4 : 1
Fleetwood Town U21
09 Sept
Blackburn U21
4 : 2
QPR U21
01 Sept
Huddersfield U21
3 : 1
QPR U21
25 Aug
QPR U21
3 : 3
Hull City U21
18 Aug
Peterborough U21
2 : 0
QPR U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)