Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Charlton U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Trialist
9' Event
Crole J.
45' Event
Crole J.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cardiff U23
15%
Draws
45%
Charlton U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff U23 have won more games recently than Charlton U23.
  • Model gives Charlton U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Charlton U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Charlton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Charlton U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.35
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2022 Professional Development League
Charlton U23 vs Cardiff U23
6:1
Oct 19, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Charlton U23
4:1
Mar 1, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Charlton U23
4:5
Jan 11, 2021 Professional Development League
Charlton U23 vs Cardiff U23
4:0
Mar 12, 2020 Professional Development League
Charlton U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Crole J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Charlton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 10 / 100
Charlton U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Charlton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Charlton U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Charlton U23
1.43 Goals Scored 2.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
14% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
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Charlton U23

(Away)
22 Jul
Charlton U23
3 : 0
Welling
16 Jul
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Charlton U23
12 Jul
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 2
Charlton U23
05 Jul
Neots
2 : 2
Charlton U23
02 Jul
Deal Town
2 : 6
Charlton U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)