Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Forrester J.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Patten K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cardiff U23
6%
Draws
90%
Swansea U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swansea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff U23 have won more games recently than Swansea U23.
  • Model gives Swansea U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Swansea U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 13
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1
Nov 1, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:3
Jan 19, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
2:1
Sep 14, 2020 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patten K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Swansea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 10 / 100
Swansea U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Swansea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Swansea U23 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Cardiff U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Swansea U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U2323153547:2348
2Coventry U2323134657:3943
3Hull City U2323124744:4140
4Wigan U2323741231:3925
5Crewe U2323721427:5023
6Peterborough U2323571136:4122
7Barnsley U2323571122:4222
8Sheffield Wed U2323481121:3220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U2324163558:2751
2Bristol City U2324155460:3150
3Cardiff U2324152744:3047
4Charlton U2324106855:4636
5Millwall U2324931234:4530
6Colchester U2324851135:4429
7Watford U2324671128:4325
8Swansea U2324591034:4124
9QPR U2324731434:5324