Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Forrester J.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Patten K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cardiff U23
30%
Draws
35%
Swansea U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff U23 have won more games recently than Swansea U23.
  • Model gives Swansea U23 a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Swansea U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1
Nov 1, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:3
Jan 19, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Swansea U23
2:1
Sep 14, 2020 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Cardiff U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patten K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Swansea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 10 / 100
Swansea U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Swansea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Swansea U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Cardiff U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Swansea U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
Page 1 of 6

Swansea U23

(Away)
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)