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Cardiff vs AS Roma

World World

Club Friendly Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cardiff host AS Roma in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cardiff have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against AS Roma's 2.5 scored and 0.75 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.19) point toward Cardiff. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cardiff
39%
Draws
31%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff AS Roma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff 29 / 100
AS Roma 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cardiff remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff VS AS Roma
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1
Northampton
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AS Roma

(Away)
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
24 May
Verona
0 : 2
AS Roma
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0
Fiorentina
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