Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Moore K.
Assist: Imray D.
33'
33'
Moore K.
54'
54'
Hyam D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wrexham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cardiff lately — more wins on the board than Wrexham.
- Win probability leans Cardiff's way, sitting at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 20%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Championship
Cardiff vs Wrexham
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 EFL Cup
Wrexham vs Cardiff
1:2
Mar 22, 2002 League One
Cardiff vs Wrexham
3:2
Nov 4, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Cardiff
1:3
Jan 22, 2000 League One
Wrexham vs Cardiff
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Colwill R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff 76 / 100
Wrexham 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Wrexham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Cardiff scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Wrexham conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Cardiff went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff VS Wrexham
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 2 Norwich
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1 Wrexham
Page 1 of 3
Wrexham
(Away) 19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1 Wrexham
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
