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Cardoso Moreira vs FC Rio de Janeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Pezao

AI Match Summary

Cardoso Moreira in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardoso Moreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cardoso Moreira
15%
Draws
39%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira have won more games recently than FC Rio de Janeiro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Carioca B2
Cardoso Moreira vs FC Rio de Janeiro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pezao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 32 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira FC Rio de Janeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cardoso Moreira scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Cardoso Moreira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Rio de Janeiro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS FC Rio de Janeiro
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardoso Moreira

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Away)
05 Oct
Paraty
0 : 4
FC Rio de Janeiro
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)