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Cardoso Moreira vs Independente RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Kauan
Own Goal
85' Event
Vitor Hugo

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C game between Cardoso Moreira and Independente RJ finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardoso Moreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cardoso Moreira
6%
Draws
4%
Independente RJ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cardoso Moreira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 68%
Independente RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardoso Moreira Independente RJ
Matches Played 25 9
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Carioca C
Cardoso Moreira vs Independente RJ
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardoso Moreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Hugo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Independente RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardoso Moreira 95 / 100
Independente RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardoso Moreira Independente RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Independente RJ conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Cardoso Moreira went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardoso Moreira scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cardoso Moreira VS Independente RJ
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85