Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2016/2017

Virtus Verona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Carenipievigina play Virtus Verona in the Serie D - Group C 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Carenipievigina averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2 conceded. Virtus Verona averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Carenipievigina won 1, Virtus Verona won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2017 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Carenipievigina and 0.80 for Virtus Verona. This points to a Virtus Verona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Carenipievigina

27%

Draws

40%

Virtus Verona

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Virtus Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Carenipievigina picked up more points recently compared to Virtus Verona.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Carenipievigina Clean Sheet 26%

Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carenipievigina	Virtus Verona
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	5	6
Draws	4	15
Losses	21	19
Goals Scored	0.87	0.95
Goals Conceded	2	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group C

Carenipievigina vs Virtus Verona

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group C

Virtus Verona vs Carenipievigina

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carenipievigina 35 / 100

Virtus Verona 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carenipievigina Virtus Verona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Virtus Verona or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carenipievigina attacking → ← attacking Virtus Verona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carenipievigina scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Virtus Verona let in goals in 85% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Carenipievigina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Virtus Verona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mestre	34	25	5	4	73:34	80
2	Triestina	34	21	9	4	63:33	72
3	Campodarsego	34	17	9	8	55:42	60
4	Virtus Verona	34	14	11	9	42:30	53
5	Abano	34	13	14	7	46:38	53
6	AC Belluno	34	13	11	10	40:36	50
7	Arzignano	34	13	10	11	43:34	49
8	Montebelluna	34	12	8	14	46:54	44
9	Union Feltre	34	11	10	13	35:37	43
10	Este	34	10	13	11	33:33	43
11	Legnago Salus	34	10	11	13	46:43	41
12	Altovicentino	34	11	7	16	45:55	40
13	Calvi Noale	34	11	7	16	44:45	40
14	Tamai	34	11	7	16	33:45	40
15	Cordenons	34	10	9	15	44:56	39
16	Vigasio	34	9	11	14	42:61	38
17	Vigontina	34	4	13	17	42:62	25
18	Carenipievigina	34	6	5	23	29:63	23