Sport Picks
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Costa Rica
Liga de Ascenso 
Match Events
68'
68'
Paniagua D.
90'
90'
Rosales S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Cariari Pococi and Carmelita finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carmelita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cariari Pococi come out ahead of Carmelita on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Carmelita's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 17%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cariari Pococi | Carmelita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
1:1
Mar 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cariari Pococi Compare
Top Goalscorer Paniagua D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Carmelita Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosales S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cariari Pococi 10 / 100
Carmelita 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cariari Pococi Carmelita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cariari Pococi found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Carmelita let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Cariari Pococi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cariari Pococi VS Carmelita
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cariari Pococi
(Home) 04 Oct
Santa Ana
1 : 0 Cariari Pococi
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2 Santa Ana
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1 Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0 Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2 Santa Ana
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1 Pitbulls
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3 Guadalupe
Page 1 of 3
Carmelita
(Away) 02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3 Carmelita
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0 Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0 CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2 Pitbulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3 Carmelita
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1 Carmelita
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1 Carmelita
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Quepos FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Grecia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 4 | AD Rosario | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | AD Sarchi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Ana | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Pitbulls | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Carmelita | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Aserri | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Guadalupe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Moravia | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 8 | CS Uruguay | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)
