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Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cariari Pococi host Limon Black Star in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cariari Pococi have averaged 1.22 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Limon Black Star's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Cariari Pococi have won 1 to Limon Black Star's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Limon Black Star. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cariari Pococi
25%
Draws
35%
Limon Black Star
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cariari Pococi come out ahead of Limon Black Star on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 20%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariari Pococi Limon Black Star
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.22 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariari Pococi 32 / 100
Limon Black Star 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariari Pococi Limon Black Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cariari Pococi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariari Pococi VS Limon Black Star
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariari Pococi

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Limon Black Star

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)