Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carina Gubin vs Pniowek Pawlowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Haraszkiewicz P.

AI Match Summary

Carina Gubin in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carina Gubin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Carina Gubin
6%
Draws
4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carina Gubin lately — more wins on the board than Pniowek Pawlowice.
  • Win probability leans Carina Gubin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 20%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Pniowek Pawlowice
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.88 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Carina Gubin
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Pniowek Pawlowice
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Carina Gubin
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Carina Gubin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraszkiewicz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 85 / 100
Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Pniowek Pawlowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carina Gubin scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Pniowek Pawlowice has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Difficult form: Pniowek Pawlowice registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Carina Gubin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS Pniowek Pawlowice
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
25 Jul
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 6

Pniowek Pawlowice

(Away)
30 May
Warta Gorzow
2 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
23 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
2 : 4
Sleza Wroclaw
16 May
Legnica II
6 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
13 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
0 : 7
Polkowice
09 May
Zielona Gora
1 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)