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Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Szostak K.
31' Event
Walczak M.
(Penalty)
37'
Kaczorek R.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Carina Gubin and Stilon Gorzow finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stilon Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Carina Gubin
30%
Draws
47%
Stilon Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stilon Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stilon Gorzow come out ahead of Carina Gubin on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Stilon Gorzow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
Stilon Gorzow Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carina Gubin Stilon Gorzow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzow
1:3
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Stilon Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
1:1
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzow
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzow
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Szostak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Stilon Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezdel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pawlowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carina Gubin 18 / 100
Stilon Gorzow 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carina Gubin Stilon Gorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stilon Gorzow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carina Gubin found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Stilon Gorzow has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Carina Gubin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carina Gubin VS Stilon Gorzow
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carina Gubin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 6

Stilon Gorzow

(Away)
03 Oct
Stilon Gorzow
2 : 1
Barycz Sulow
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
19 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
0 : 0
ROW Rybnik
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)