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Cariri FC vs Barbalha

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC play Barbalha in the Cearense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cariri FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Barbalha averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Cariri FC won 1, Barbalha won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Cariri FC and 1.00 for Barbalha. This points to a Cariri FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cariri FC
6%
Draws
4%
Barbalha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cariri FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Barbalha.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cariri FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 68%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Barbalha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Cearense
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ale
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 95 / 100
Barbalha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Barbalha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Barbalha let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Barbalha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Barbalha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124