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Cariri FC vs Barbalha

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2025 Estadio Mauro Sampaio (Romeirao)
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Kaue
34'
Eduardo Elias
45' Event
Vitor Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC host Barbalha in the Cearense 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barbalha have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Cariri FC have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Cariri FC have won 1 to Barbalha's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Cariri FC. Cariri FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cariri FC
6%
Draws
4%
Barbalha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cariri FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Barbalha.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cariri FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 20%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Barbalha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Cearense
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Sabara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Ribeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 85 / 100
Barbalha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Barbalha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Barbalha let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Barbalha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Barbalha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresta EC32104:27
2Iguatu31116:44
3Barbalha30305:53
4Cariri FC30122:61