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Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Thu, Apr 11, 2024
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Thyago
78' Event
Tiaguinho
1' Event
Dalvan
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC in this Cearense 2 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cariri FC
28%
Draws
22%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guarani de Juazeiro have won more games recently than Cariri FC.
  • Cariri FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Guarani de Juazeiro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani de Juazeiro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Cariri FC
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiaguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Thyago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 59 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cariri FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Guarani de Juazeiro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariri FC

(Home)
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
25 Apr
Icasa
0 : 1
Cariri FC
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tirol-
TBD-
Itapipoca5
Tiradentes3
Icasa-
TBD-
Cariri FC2
Guarani de Juazeiro1
Semi-finals
Tirol6
Itapipoca4
Icasa1
Cariri FC2
Final
Tirol3
Cariri FC0