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Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro

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Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Kaka

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Cariri FC and Guarani de Juazeiro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cariri FC
28%
Draws
22%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarani de Juazeiro come out ahead of Cariri FC on wins alone.
  • Cariri FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Cariri FC
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaka
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 59 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Guarani de Juazeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Guarani de Juazeiro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124