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Cariri FC vs Pacatuba

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC play Pacatuba in the Cearense 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cariri FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Pacatuba averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Cariri FC won 1, Pacatuba won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cariri FC and 1.31 for Pacatuba. This points to a Cariri FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cariri FC
26%
Draws
21%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Cariri FC picked up more points recently compared to Pacatuba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 18%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Pacatuba
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Pacatuba
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalvan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiaguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pacatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 51 / 100
Pacatuba 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Pacatuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariri FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cariri FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cariri FC attacking → ← attacking Pacatuba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Pacatuba let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pacatuba lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 10
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Icasa852112:617
2Tirol851211:716
3Itapipoca844011:616
4Cariri FC833211:612
5Guarani de Juazeiro82338:89
6Tiradentes81436:97
7Maranguape81435:97
8Pacatuba81252:125
9Pacajus80538:115