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Stadium Background

Carlisle vs Brackley

England England

National League 2025/2026 Brunton Park, Carlisle
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Armstrong L.
Assist: Ajiboye D.
31' Event
Ellis J.
44'
Elliott-Wheeler A.

AI Match Summary

Carlisle in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carlisle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Carlisle
17%
Draws
13%
Brackley
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brackley haven't matched Carlisle's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Carlisle's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 20%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Brackley
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Brackley
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 National League
Brackley vs Carlisle
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Armstrong L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Brackley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 67 / 100
Brackley 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Brackley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brackley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Carlisle's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Carlisle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Brackley
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4
Carlisle
03 May
Carlisle
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Brackley

(Away)
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
18 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 0
Brackley
14 Jul
Leamington
2 : 2
Brackley
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Brackley
2 : 1
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)