Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlisle vs Salford

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Langstaff M.
56' Event
Langstaff M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Carlisle and Salford finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Carlisle
30%
Draws
34%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Carlisle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 20%
Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Salford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Carlisle vs Salford
0:2
May 3, 2025 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:3
Nov 19, 2022 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Langstaff M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 36 / 100
Salford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Carlisle's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Salford has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Carlisle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Salford
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4
Carlisle
03 May
Carlisle
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0
Brackley
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
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Salford

(Away)
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
25 Jul
Salford
3 : 2
Dundee Utd
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0
Salford
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
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