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Carlisle vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Langstaff M.
56' Event
Langstaff M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Carlisle and Salford finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Carlisle
15%
Draws
48%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 12%
Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Salford
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Carlisle vs Salford
0:2
May 3, 2025 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:3
Nov 19, 2022 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Langstaff M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 30 / 100
Salford 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlisle's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Salford has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Carlisle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Salford
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
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Salford

(Away)
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
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