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Carlisle vs Worthing FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Brunton Park, Carlisle
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Adjetey-Brew C.
42' Event
Kelly G.
Assist: Bunker H.
67' Event
Hutchinson D.
Assist: Adjetey-Brew C.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Carlisle and Worthing FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worthing FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Carlisle
20%
Draws
52%
Worthing FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Carlisle haven't matched Worthing FC's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Worthing FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 15%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Worthing FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Worthing FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coleman De-Graft R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 19 / 100
Worthing FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Worthing FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlisle found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Worthing FC conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Worthing FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0
Kidderminster
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Worthing FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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