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Carlos Mannucci vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
3 - 0
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carlos Mannucci host San Marcos in the Liga 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Carlos Mannucci have averaged 1.58 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against San Marcos's 0.77 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Carlos Mannucci have won 2 to San Marcos's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.81) point toward Carlos Mannucci. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Carlos Mannucci
15%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carlos Mannucci come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Carlos Mannucci a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Carlos Mannucci have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Mannucci San Marcos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.58 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs San Marcos
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Carlos Mannucci
0:1
May 18, 2025 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs San Marcos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Mannucci 85 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Mannucci San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Carlos Mannucci scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

San Marcos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Mannucci VS San Marcos
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Mannucci

(Home)
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
ADA Jaen
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San Marcos

(Away)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 15 8 5 2 16:5 29
2 Carlos Mannucci 15 8 3 4 19:12 27
3 Llacuabamba 15 7 4 4 20:10 25
4 Pirata 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 U. San Martin 14 5 3 6 20:17 18
6 ADA Jaen 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Cesar Vallejo 14 4 4 6 11:13 16
8 AD Cantolao 15 2 5 8 16:30 11
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 16 8 5 3 22:13 29
2 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 4 5 22:13 25
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 5 6 5 18:18 21
6 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
7 Ayacucho 16 5 4 7 19:21 19
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)