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Carlos Renaux U20 vs Barra FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 Estádio Augusto Bauer
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AI Match Summary

Carlos Renaux U20 play Barra FC U20 in the Catarinense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Carlos Renaux U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Barra FC U20 averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Carlos Renaux U20 won 0, Barra FC U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Carlos Renaux U20 and 2.25 for Barra FC U20. This points to a Barra FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carlos Renaux U20
29%
Draws
42%
Barra FC U20
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Carlos Renaux U20 picked up more points recently compared to Barra FC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Carlos Renaux U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Renaux U20 Barra FC U20
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Catarinense U20
Carlos Renaux U20 vs Barra FC U20
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Renaux U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Costa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Epifanio F. G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Renaux U20 28 / 100
Barra FC U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Renaux U20 Barra FC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barra FC U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carlos Renaux U20 attacking → ← attacking Barra FC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Renaux U20 scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Barra FC U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Carlos Renaux U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 53
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201383231:1627
2Avai U201275029:926
3Criciuma U201274121:725
4Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201343626:2215
7Concordia U201243512:1915
8Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
9Joinville U201313910:276
10Brusque U2014111214:434