Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlos Renaux U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Joel E.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Carlos Renaux U20 and Joinville U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joinville U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Carlos Renaux U20
15%
Draws
34%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Renaux U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Joinville U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carlos Renaux U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlos Renaux U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Renaux U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
2:3
May 29, 2026 Catarinense U20
Carlos Renaux U20 vs Joinville U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Renaux U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Renaux U20 85 / 100
Joinville U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Renaux U20 Joinville U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Renaux U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joinville U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Carlos Renaux U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (18 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Carlos Renaux U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Renaux U20 VS Joinville U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Renaux U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
28 Jul
Carlos Renaux U20
1 : 0
Brusque U20
25 Jul
Carlos Renaux U20
1 : 2
Criciuma U20
22 Jul
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Carlos Renaux U20
13 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 1
Carlos Renaux U20
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Joinville U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)