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Carlos Stein vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura
Tue, Sep 5, 2023
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carlos Stein host Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) in the Liga 2 2023. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Carlos Stein have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.75 conceded recently, against Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Carlos Stein slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.88, favoring Alfonso Ugarte (Puno). AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Carlos Stein
17%
Draws
70%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have won more games recently than Carlos Stein.
  • Model gives Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 10%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Stein Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2023 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3:0
Jun 12, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Carlos Stein
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Stein 14 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Stein Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Carlos Stein scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Stein VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427