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Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Osorio A.
30'
Osorio A.
32'
Sub
Salcedo J. In: Cieza C.
Out: Salcedo J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Carlos Stein
15%
Draws
85%
Juan Aurich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Aurich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlos Stein lately — more wins on the board than Juan Aurich.
  • Win probability leans Carlos Stein's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Carlos Stein Clean Sheet 10%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlos Stein Juan Aurich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 1.1 0.43
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
3:0
May 11, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Carlos Stein
0:3
Aug 23, 2023 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
1:1
May 30, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Carlos Stein
3:1
Sep 6, 2021 Liga 2
Carlos Stein vs Juan Aurich
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlos Stein Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Juan Aurich Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlos Stein 40 / 100
Juan Aurich 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlos Stein Juan Aurich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Juan Aurich registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Carlos Stein scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Juan Aurich let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Carlos Stein VS Juan Aurich
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlos Stein

(Home)
07 Sept
Binacional
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
02 Sept
Moquegua
6 : 1
Carlos Stein
26 Aug
Carlos Stein
1 : 2
U. San Martin
22 Aug
Carlos Stein
0 : 4
Moquegua
17 Aug
U. San Martin
1 : 0
Carlos Stein
Page 1 of 6

Juan Aurich

(Away)
06 Jul
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
03 Jul
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
San Marcos
30 Jun
Pirata
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
15 Jun
Juan Pablo II
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
09 Jun
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes Unidos 26 20 3 3 54:22 63
2 Los Chankas 26 16 5 5 72:25 53
3 Alianza Huanuco 26 15 6 5 43:25 51
4 Llacuabamba 26 13 7 6 44:31 46
5 Santos FC 26 12 6 8 32:24 42
6 Comerciantes FC 26 11 6 9 27:26 39
7 U. San Martin 26 10 6 10 34:30 36
8 Deportivo Coopsol 26 10 6 10 30:29 36
9 Juan Aurich 26 7 10 9 23:27 31
10 Union Huaral 26 5 9 12 22:34 24
11 Ayacucho 26 5 8 13 37:50 23
12 Pirata 26 5 6 15 22:59 21
13 Carlos Stein 26 1 5 20 26:76 8
14 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 26 6 9 11 36:44 27
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)