Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlstad vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bjelkendal-Haaranen A.
Own Goal
32'
Rojas I.
60' Event
Rojas I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra 2019 game between Carlstad and Gefle finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Carlstad
15%
Draws
35%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carlstad come out ahead of Gefle on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Carlstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Carlstad have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carlstad Clean Sheet 19%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlstad Gefle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Gefle
2:1
Apr 27, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Carlstad
0:3
May 1, 2008 Svenska Cupen
Carlstad vs Gefle
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer McNeil T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlstad 85 / 100
Gefle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlstad Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlstad's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gefle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Carlstad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gefle
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlstad

(Home)
02 Nov
Karlslund
1 : 4
Carlstad
27 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Oct
Sylvia
2 : 2
Carlstad
13 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Umea FC
06 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 2
Carlstad
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Gefle

(Away)
15 Aug
Gefle
2 : 0
Umea FC
08 Aug
IFK Stocksund
5 : 0
Gefle
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
27 Jun
Gefle
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
18 Jun
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akropolis 30 23 6 1 77:28 75
2 Umea FC 30 17 5 8 52:35 56
3 Linkoping City 30 15 8 7 61:31 53
4 Carlstad 30 15 8 7 56:43 53
5 Karlstad 30 15 6 9 53:35 51
6 Vasalund 30 12 10 8 64:49 46
7 Sandviken 30 12 7 11 52:47 43
8 Nykopings 30 10 8 12 45:54 38
9 Sylvia 30 11 5 14 48:65 38
10 Karlslund 30 8 11 11 45:55 35
11 Gefle 30 10 4 16 33:48 34
12 Umea FF 30 9 7 14 38:55 34
13 Sollentuna 30 8 9 13 37:42 33
14 Boden 30 8 7 15 42:60 31
15 Rynninge 30 7 4 19 46:78 25
16 Forward 30 5 5 20 36:60 20
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra 2019 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superettan 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Superettan 2019 (Relegation)