Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlstad vs Karlslund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Rhan L.
21' Event
Alexis B.
45'
Sub
Jernberg A. In: Gustavsson J.
Out: Jernberg A.

AI Match Summary

Karlslund in this Division 1 - Norra 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlslund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Carlstad
30%
Draws
27%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Carlstad have won more games recently than Karlslund.
  • Carlstad are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Carlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlstad Karlslund
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Karlslund vs Carlstad
1:4
Jun 28, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Karlslund
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Karlslund vs Carlstad
0:2
Nov 10, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Karlslund
1:1
Jul 4, 2018 Svenska Cupen
Karlslund vs Carlstad
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexis B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Karlslund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlstad 67 / 100
Karlslund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlstad Karlslund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlstad found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Karlslund has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Carlstad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlslund
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlstad

(Home)
02 Nov
Karlslund
1 : 4
Carlstad
27 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Oct
Sylvia
2 : 2
Carlstad
13 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Umea FC
06 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 2
Carlstad
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Karlslund

(Away)
27 Sept
Karlslund
2 : 2
Forward
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
30 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 1
Syrianska
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akropolis 30 23 6 1 77:28 75
2 Umea FC 30 17 5 8 52:35 56
3 Linkoping City 30 15 8 7 61:31 53
4 Carlstad 30 15 8 7 56:43 53
5 Karlstad 30 15 6 9 53:35 51
6 Vasalund 30 12 10 8 64:49 46
7 Sandviken 30 12 7 11 52:47 43
8 Nykopings 30 10 8 12 45:54 38
9 Sylvia 30 11 5 14 48:65 38
10 Karlslund 30 8 11 11 45:55 35
11 Gefle 30 10 4 16 33:48 34
12 Umea FF 30 9 7 14 38:55 34
13 Sollentuna 30 8 9 13 37:42 33
14 Boden 30 8 7 15 42:60 31
15 Rynninge 30 7 4 19 46:78 25
16 Forward 30 5 5 20 36:60 20
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra 2019 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superettan 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Superettan 2019 (Relegation)