Sport Picks

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Carlton Town vs Matlock

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Washington C.
49' Event
McLean R.
53' Event
McLean R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Carlton Town and Matlock finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matlock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Carlton Town
15%
Draws
65%
Matlock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Carlton Town have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Matlock are scoring more at 1.84.
  • Win probability leans Matlock's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Matlock have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Carlton Town Clean Sheet 10%
Matlock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlton Town Matlock
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Carlton Town vs Matlock
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Matlock vs Carlton Town
3:0
Oct 30, 2019 FA Trophy
Carlton Town vs Matlock
1:2
Sep 28, 2013 FA Cup
Carlton Town vs Matlock
1:0
Sep 25, 2010 FA Cup
Carlton Town vs Matlock
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Washington C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McLean R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlton Town 10 / 100
Matlock 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlton Town Matlock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlton Town found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Matlock's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Carlton Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlton Town VS Matlock
1.67 Goals Scored 2.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlton Town

(Home)
29 Aug
Carlton Town
2 : 3
Shepshed
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
20 Sept
Shifnal Town
2 : 1
Carlton Town
13 Sept
Matlock
3 : 0
Carlton Town
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
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Matlock

(Away)
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
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