Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Carmarthen Town host Aberystwyth in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Carmarthen Town have averaged 2.19 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Aberystwyth's 1.71 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Carmarthen Town slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 1, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.63) point toward Aberystwyth. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aberystwyth come out ahead of Carmarthen Town on wins alone.
- Model gives Aberystwyth a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Aberystwyth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Aberystwyth has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Carmarthen Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home)Aberystwyth
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
