Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Richmond Park, Carmarthen 
Match Events
26'
26'
Cummings L.
40'
40'
Kristian E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carmarthen Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Carmarthen Town lately — more wins on the board than Llantwit Major.
- Model gives Carmarthen Town a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 68%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Cummings L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Kristian E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 95 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Llantwit Major let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Away concern: Llantwit Major has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Llantwit Major
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
Llantwit Major
(Away) 22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
20 Mar
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
10 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 3 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
