Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carmarthen Town vs Undy

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022 Richmond Park, Carmarthen
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Walters G.
33' Event
Pemberton S.
35'
John A.

AI Match Summary

Carmarthen Town in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Carmarthen Town
20%
Draws
0%
Undy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Carmarthen Town have won more games recently than Undy.
  • Model gives Carmarthen Town a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Carmarthen Town have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 14%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Undy
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 16 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.31 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Undy
4:0
Oct 9, 2021 Cymru South
Undy vs Carmarthen Town
2:3
Nov 30, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Undy vs Carmarthen Town
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Walters G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pemberton S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Undy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 84 / 100
Undy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Undy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carmarthen Town scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Undy has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Undy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Undy
3 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmarthen Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 8

Undy

(Away)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)