Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
53'
53'
Cartwright A.
66'
66'
Jones H.
69'
69'
Rickard J.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Carmarthen Town and Ynyshir Albions finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ynyshir Albions haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Carmarthen Town's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 14%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Carmarthen Town
0:2
Apr 28, 2023 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Carmarthen Town
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rickard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Ynyshir Albions Compare
Top Goalscorer Cartwright A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baker C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 35 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Ynyshir Albions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ynyshir Albions conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Carmarthen Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Ynyshir Albions
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 4
Ynyshir Albions
(Away) 10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2 Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
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