Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Richmond Park, Carmarthen 
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Carmarthen Town and Ynyshir Albions finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 14%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Carmarthen Town
0:2
Apr 28, 2023 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Carmarthen Town
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 31 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Ynyshir Albions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Ynyshir Albions has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Carmarthen Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Ynyshir Albions
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 4
Ynyshir Albions
(Away) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
