Sport Picks
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Carmelita and Aserri finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aserri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carmelita come out ahead of Aserri on wins alone.
- Carmelita are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 68%
Aserri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmelita | Aserri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 25 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 31, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Carmelita
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Aserri
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Aserri
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Carmelita
1:0
Apr 26, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Carmelita
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmelita 86 / 100
Aserri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmelita Aserri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmelita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmelita scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Aserri conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Carmelita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carmelita VS Aserri
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmelita
(Home) 14 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 1 FC Moravia
09 Aug
Carmelita
2 : 3 Santa Ana
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
25 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 1 FC Moravia
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14 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 1 FC Moravia
09 Aug
Carmelita
2 : 3 Santa Ana
25 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 1 FC Moravia
16 Mar
Carmelita
1 : 0 Pitbulls
08 Mar
Carmelita
2 : 0 Escorpiones
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Aserri
(Away) 15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2 Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0 Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2 Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0 Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
Page 1 of 5
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2 Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0 Aserri
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0 Aserri
27 Mar
Santa Ana
3 : 2 Aserri
19 Mar
Cariari Pococi
2 : 2 Aserri
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Quepos FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 5 | Grecia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:23 | 17 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
| 8 | Dep. Upala | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15:31 | 5 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escorpiones | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 2 | CS Uruguay | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Moravia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 6 | Aserri | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:28 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Ana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 12 |
| 8 | Carmelita | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
