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Carmelita vs FC Moravia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita Logo

Carmelita

1 - 1
FT
FC Moravia Logo

FC Moravia

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Ledezma A.
59' Event
Madrigal D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Carmelita
15%
Draws
32%
FC Moravia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carmelita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Moravia have won more games recently than Carmelita.
  • Model gives Carmelita a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 17%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmelita FC Moravia
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Carmelita
0:3
Aug 14, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs FC Moravia
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs FC Moravia
1:1
Feb 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Carmelita
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Carmelita
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmelita Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledezma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Moravia Compare

Top Goalscorer Madrigal D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmelita 84 / 100
FC Moravia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmelita FC Moravia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carmelita scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

FC Moravia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Carmelita went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmelita VS FC Moravia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmelita

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
Page 1 of 6

FC Moravia

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)