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Carmelita vs Pitbulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Coll K.
52' Event
Ramirez E.
64' Event
Villalobos W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Carmelita and Pitbulls finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pitbulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Carmelita
30%
Draws
31%
Pitbulls
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carmelita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Carmelita haven't matched Pitbulls's recent run of results.
  • Pitbulls are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 16%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmelita Pitbulls
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
2:0
Sep 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmelita Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pitbulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Coll K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmelita 23 / 100
Pitbulls 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmelita Pitbulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitbulls Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carmelita scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Pitbulls has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Carmelita went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmelita VS Pitbulls
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmelita

(Home)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

Pitbulls

(Away)
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Pitbulls
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)