Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carno FC vs Porthmadog

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog in this FA Cup 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Carno FC
6%
Draws
90%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porthmadog lately — more wins on the board than Carno FC.
  • Model gives Porthmadog a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Carno FC Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carno FC Porthmadog
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup
Carno FC vs Porthmadog
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carno FC 10 / 100
Porthmadog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carno FC Porthmadog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Carno FC scored in 44% of their last 9 games.

Away concern: Porthmadog has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carno FC VS Porthmadog
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gwalchmai1
Port Talbot4
Caersws FC4
Llanidloes Town2
Bangor City2
Bryntirion Athletic1
Haverfordwest3
Holyhead2
Goytre Utd2
Carmarthen Town3
Connahs Q.5
AFC Porth3
Bow Street2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Porthmadog0
Bala1
Aberaman0
Cefn Druids4
Llanelli1
Aberystwyth0
Guilsfield1
Rhos Aelwyd2
Cambrian United2
Prestatyn3
Neath Athletic1
Rhyl2
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
TNS3
Corus Steel0
Grange Harlequins2
Newtown1
Bridgend Town2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot3
Caersws FC0
Bangor City5
Haverfordwest3
Carmarthen Town2
Connahs Q.3
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Bala1
Cefn Druids1
Llanelli4
Rhos Aelwyd1
Prestatyn6
Rhyl1
TNS2
Grange Harlequins1
Bridgend Town0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot0
Bangor City3
Connahs Q.4
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Llanelli1
Prestatyn0
TNS2
Grange Harlequins0
Semi-finals
Bangor City1
Connahs Q.0
Llanelli1
TNS0
Final
Bangor City1
Llanelli4