Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 American Legion Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Nabet L.
26' Event
Studer S.
Assist: Aguilera J.
46'
Sub
Martinez B. In: Merrick A.
Out: Martinez B.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Carolina Ascent W and Dallas Trinity W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Ascent W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Carolina Ascent W
28%
Draws
22%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Carolina Ascent W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Carolina Ascent W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 68%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Ascent W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer Studer S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dallas Trinity W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Ascent W 59 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Ascent W Dallas Trinity W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Ascent W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dallas Trinity W conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Carolina Ascent W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Ascent W VS Dallas Trinity W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223