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Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carolina Ascent W host DC Power W in the USL Super League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. DC Power W have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Carolina Ascent W have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Carolina Ascent W have won 4 to DC Power W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Carolina Ascent W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Carolina Ascent W
30%
Draws
31%
DC Power W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Carolina Ascent W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carolina Ascent W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Carolina Ascent W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 20%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Ascent W DC Power W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Ascent W 58 / 100
DC Power W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Ascent W DC Power W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carolina Ascent W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Ascent W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: DC Power W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Carolina Ascent W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Ascent W VS DC Power W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carolina Ascent W

(Home)
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
05 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
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DC Power W

(Away)
22 Sept
DC Power W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)