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Carolina Core vs Chattanooga

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Truist Point
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carolina Core host Chattanooga in the MLS Next Pro. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Chattanooga have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Carolina Core have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Chattanooga slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.00) back Chattanooga to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Carolina Core
33%
Draws
40%
Chattanooga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chattanooga come out ahead of Carolina Core on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chattanooga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Core Chattanooga
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 21
Draws 0 0
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Carolina Core
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Carolina Core
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga
1:4
Jul 17, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 26 / 100
Chattanooga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Core Chattanooga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carolina Core scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Chattanooga conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Carolina Core has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Core VS Chattanooga
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County17100730:2429
3Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
4San Jose Earthquakes II1480631:1725
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 217501221:3614
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II17401322:4413
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County17100730:2429
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
7Minnesota United 21890925:2926
8San Jose Earthquakes II1480631:1725
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 217501221:3614
13Sporting Kansas City II17401322:4413
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359