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Caronnese vs Alcione Milano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gaeta M.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Manuzzi F.
45' Event
Cattaneo A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Alcione Milano in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
30%
Draws
70%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcione Milano lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Win probability leans Alcione Milano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alcione Milano here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 20%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Alcione Milano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Alcione Milano
0:2
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Alcione Milano vs Caronnese
4:0
Aug 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Caronnese vs Alcione Milano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caronnese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuzzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 28 / 100
Alcione Milano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcione Milano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Caronnese's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alcione Milano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcione Milano
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Alcione Milano

(Away)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
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