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Caronnese vs Varese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caronnese in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caronnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
15%
Draws
85%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varese lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Win probability leans Varese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 15%
Varese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Varese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 8 15
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.78 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Varese
1:0
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Caronnese
3:3
May 14, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Caronnese
1:0
Feb 26, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Caronnese
0:1
Oct 23, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Varese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 23 / 100
Varese 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Varese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Caronnese scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caronnese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)