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Carpi vs Bra

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Puletto F. In: Pietra N.
Out: Puletto F.
31'
Campedelli R.
33'
Rigo M.

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Carpi
20%
Draws
20%
Bra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Carpi have won more games recently than Bra.
  • Model gives Carpi a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%
Bra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Bra
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Bra
2:1
Oct 10, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Bra vs Carpi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagnoni D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanzani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lionetti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 50 / 100
Bra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Bra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Carpi scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Bra conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Bra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Bra
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3
Carpi
18 Apr
Carpi
0 : 1
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

Bra

(Away)
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 2
Bra
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2
Ternana
11 Apr
Campobasso
0 : 0
Bra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)