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Carpi vs Forli FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Panelli T.
19' Event
Trombetta M.
22'
De Risio C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Carpi and Forli FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Carpi
35%
Draws
35%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Carpi have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Forli FC are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Forli FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Forli FC
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Carpi
4:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Forli FC
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Carpi
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Carpi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Trombetta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 30 / 100
Forli FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Forli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Forli FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Carpi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Forli FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
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Forli FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)