Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carpi vs Forli FC

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Panelli T.
19' Event
Trombetta M.
22'
De Risio C.

AI Match Summary

Carpi host Forli FC in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Carpi at 0.88 goals for, 1.63 against; Forli FC at 1.13 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Carpi have won 1 to Forli FC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Forli FC to edge this. Forli FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Carpi
28%
Draws
22%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Carpi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Forli FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Carpi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C - Group B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Forli FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Forli FC
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Carpi
4:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Forli FC
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Carpi
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Carpi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Trombetta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 59 / 100
Forli FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Forli FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Forli FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Carpi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Forli FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Forli FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00