Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carpi vs Lentigione

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Stanzani L.
71' Event
Gerbi E.
90' Event
Nappo G.

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Carpi
20%
Draws
42%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Carpi Clean Sheet 20%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Lentigione
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Carpi vs Lentigione
3:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Carpi
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Lentigione
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Carpi
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Lentigione
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanzani L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gerbi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Nappo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 32 / 100
Lentigione 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Lentigione let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Carpi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Lentigione
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6