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Carpi vs Lumezzane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carpi host Lumezzane in the Serie C - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Carpi at 1.11 goals for, 1.61 against; Lumezzane at 1.17 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Carpi have won 2 to Lumezzane's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2013, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Lumezzane to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Carpi
30%
Draws
54%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lumezzane have won more games recently than Carpi.
  • Lumezzane are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 17%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Lumezzane
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Lega Pro C1/A
Lumezzane vs Carpi
1:1
Oct 21, 2012 Lega Pro C1/A
Carpi vs Lumezzane
1:0
Jan 22, 2012 Lega Pro C1/A
Lumezzane vs Carpi
1:1
Sep 18, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Carpi vs Lumezzane
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 28 / 100
Lumezzane 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Lumezzane let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Carpi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Lumezzane
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
17 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
18 Juventus U23 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)