Sport Picks
Carpi vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi 
Match Events
36'
36'
Valente M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Union Brescia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carpi haven't matched Union Brescia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Union Brescia a 51% chance of winning this.
- Union Brescia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Union Brescia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Carpi
3:1
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Carpi vs Union Brescia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Valente M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 10 / 100
Union Brescia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Union Brescia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Carpi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Union Brescia
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 3
Union Brescia
(Away) 04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
